Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.044603 0.048628 0.052715 0.057171 0.061883 0.066711 0.072025
2024-12-29 0.038547 0.044446 0.050662 0.057675 0.065340 0.073436 0.082607
2025-01-05 0.033853 0.041099 0.048995 0.058177 0.068498 0.079681 0.092653
2025-01-12 0.029411 0.037532 0.046670 0.057600 0.070203 0.084169 0.100705
2025-01-19 0.026550 0.035453 0.045763 0.058402 0.073297 0.090119 0.110375
2025-01-26 0.023465 0.032800 0.043922 0.057887 0.074691 0.094008 0.117636
2025-02-02 0.021229 0.030965 0.042872 0.058149 0.076872 0.098730 0.125826
2025-02-09 0.019695 0.029864 0.042596 0.059244 0.079976 0.104501 0.135251
2025-02-16 0.018938 0.029686 0.043415 0.061655 0.084668 0.112185 0.147005
2025-02-23 0.016421 0.026954 0.040782 0.059547 0.083640 0.112856 0.150266
2025-03-02 0.014744 0.025234 0.039348 0.058863 0.084298 0.115514 0.155889
2025-03-09 0.013345 0.023793 0.038185 0.058443 0.085219 0.118450 0.161826
2025-03-16 0.012863 0.023682 0.038859 0.060515 0.089445 0.125647 0.173227
2025-03-23 0.012071 0.023045 0.038762 0.061525 0.092289 0.131135 0.182566
2025-03-30 0.011282 0.022352 0.038535 0.062326 0.094847 0.136274 0.191512
2025-04-06 0.010205 0.021113 0.037450 0.061876 0.095697 0.139202 0.197671
2025-04-13 0.009599 0.020588 0.037370 0.062808 0.098392 0.144521 0.206898
2025-04-20 0.008681 0.019463 0.036329 0.062317 0.099112 0.147246 0.212807
2025-04-27 0.008037 0.018751 0.035867 0.062621 0.100898 0.151362 0.220517
2025-05-04 0.007645 0.018446 0.036011 0.063790 0.103877 0.157058 0.230300
2025-05-11 0.007581 0.018728 0.037078 0.066337 0.108804 0.165384 0.243569
2025-05-18 0.006530 0.017092 0.035004 0.064124 0.106973 0.164641 0.244951
2025-05-25 0.005870 0.016128 0.033959 0.063406 0.107218 0.166654 0.249937